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American Journal of Physiology-Endocrinology and Metabolism

American Physiological Society

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match American Journal of Physiology-Endocrinology and Metabolism's content profile, based on 36 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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PERK/ATF3-dependent induction of GDE4 modulates intracellular lysophospholipid-PPARα/γ signaling

Kitakaze, K.; Misumi, R.; Nagai, S.; Ali, H.; Ukai, Y.; Takamine, D.; Takehara, N.; Iiboshi, Y.; Miyoshi, R.; Ito, Y.; Sunada, Y.; Takenouchi, Y.; Tsuboi, K.; Tanaka, T.; Okamoto, Y.

2026-08-31 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.27.747495 medRxiv
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Lysophosphatidic acid (LPA) is widely recognized as an extracellular lipid mediator; however, the functional significance of intracellularly produced LPA remains poorly understood. Here, we investigated the regulatory mechanism and functional role of a LPA-producing lysophospholipase D GDE4, also known as GDPD1, in prostate cancer cells. GDE4 expression is induced under ER stress conditions in a PERK-dependent manner and requires the transcription factor ATF3. Disruption of GDE4 expression resulted in altered intracellular levels of LPA and LPA precursor lysophosphatidylethanolamine, accompanied by reduced cell proliferation. RNA sequencing and subsequent validation identified a set of genes downregulated in GDE4-depleted cells. Pharmacological inhibition experiments indicated that peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor and {gamma} (PPAR and PPAR{gamma}) signaling pathways contribute to the regulation of these GDE4-dependent genes. Collectively, our findings suggest that GDE4-dependent lipid remodeling is associated with PPAR/{gamma}-mediated transcriptional regulation under ER stress conditions. These results provide a potential framework for understanding the link between intracellular lipid metabolism and stress-responsive gene regulation.

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Very low-calorie diet reduces hepatic steatosis and remodels circulating metabolite-microRNAs networks in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: A pilot study

Deb, P.; Bagar, D.; Kumar, P.; Sun, L.; Chen, E.; Gaddam, R. R.; Ferretto, L. F.; Shelsky, C. R.; Sanchez, A. J.; Thakkar, H.; Chaurasia, B.; Vikram, A.; Correia, M. L. D.

2026-09-04 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361664 medRxiv
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Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a major cause of chronic liver disease, with weight loss as the pivotal therapeutic strategy. However, the metabolic and molecular adaptations underlying rapid weight loss remain incompletely defined. In this pilot study, women with obesity and MASLD but without diabetes consumed a very low-calorie diet (VLCD) for 8 weeks. Clinical parameters, hepatic steatosis measured by controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), circulating metabolites, and microRNAs (miRs) were assessed before and after the dietary intervention. Integrated correlation and hierarchical clustering analyses were performed to identify molecular networks associated with clinical improvement. VLCD was well tolerated, resulting in significant weight loss (~11%) with ~80% adherence. Significant improvements in metabolic parameters were observed, including fat mass, waist circumference, blood pressure, insulinemia, HOMA-IR, HbA1c, and triglycerides, with unchanged liver enzymes. Hepatic steatosis decreased markedly, as indicated by a reduction in CAP, while stiffness remained unchanged. Metabolomic profiling revealed elevated ketone bodies and broad reductions in amino acid levels, consistent with enhanced fatty acid oxidation and a catabolic metabolic state. Correlation analysis identified distinct metabolite signatures associated with hepatic steatosis, with changes in CAP positively associated with changes in amino acids and inversely associated with changes in ketone bodies and tricarboxylic acid cycle intermediates. Circulating miRs underwent selective rather than global remodeling, with only a limited subset showing strong associations with clinical parameters, including CAP and HOMA-IR. Specifically, VLCD altered the circulating levels of miR-148a-3p, miR-140-3p, miR-10b-5p, and miR-345-5p. Integration of metabolomic and miR datasets identified coordinated metabolite-miR modules involving glucose metabolism, branched-chain amino acid catabolism, mitochondrial metabolism, purine metabolism, microbial metabolites, and cellular redox pathways. These findings demonstrate that improvement in hepatic steatosis during VLCD-induced weight loss is accompanied by coordinated remodeling of circulating metabolite-miR networks. Integrated multi-omics analysis identifies candidate molecular signatures associated with metabolic adaptation and highlights circulating miR-metabolite modules as potential biomarkers of therapeutic response in MASLD.

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Complementary Models of Cardiometabolic Stress Reveal Conserved Molecular Programs Driving Cardiac Remodeling

Saeed, M.; Jung, H.-J.; Lee, B. R.; Patil, S.; Sarkar, R.; Lantz, C.; Heo, M. J.; Serrato, A.; An, Y. A.; Kim, K. H.; DeBerge, M.

2026-08-31 systems biology 10.64898/2026.08.28.747839 medRxiv
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Background: Cardiometabolic diseases frequently involve concurrent cardiovascular and hepatic dysfunction, yet the conserved molecular mechanisms underlying these systemic responses remain poorly defined. Objectives: To identify conserved molecular responses across complementary manifestations of cardiometabolic stress and determine whether integrated multi-organ analyses reveal therapeutically actionable targets for heart failure. Methods: Cardiac functional phenotyping, hepatic injury profiling, and bulk RNA sequencing were performed across three complementary mouse models representing distinct manifestations of cardiometabolic stress: high-fat diet plus L-NAME (HFD+LN)-induced heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF; cardiovascular disease), Western diet (WD)-induced obesity (systemic metabolic stress), and choline-deficient, L-amino acid-defined, high-fat diet (CDAHFD)-induced steatotic liver disease (hepatic metabolic stress). Comparative transcriptomic analyses distinguished organ-specific responses from conserved molecular signatures. Results: Each model produced distinct systemic, hepatic, and cardiac phenotypes accompanied by divergent transcriptional responses within individual organs. Cross-model and cross-organ integration identified a limited set of conserved molecular responses to cardiometabolic stress, with Serpine1, encoding plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1), emerging as a highly conserved candidate that exhibited preferential induction in the heart. Pharmacologic inhibition of PAI-1 significantly improved cardiac function and attenuated adverse remodeling in established HFpEF, whereas hepatic pathology was comparatively less affected, indicating differential organ-specific dependence on this pathway. Conclusions: Integrated analyses across complementary manifestations of cardiometabolic stress identified conserved molecular signatures that transcend individual disease models and organs. These findings establish a comparative framework for discovering cardiovascular therapeutic targets and identify PAI-1 as a promising mediator of cardiac remodeling in cardiometabolic disease.

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Shape Analysis of Coronary Flow Waveforms using Singular Value Decomposition

Sturgess, V. E.; Schenk, N. A.; Ziegele, J. W.; Essajee, S. I.; Tune, J. D.; Rajapakse, I.; Figueroa, C. A.; Beard, D. A.

2026-08-31 physiology 10.64898/2026.08.26.743980 medRxiv
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Coronary flow waveforms have a distinct diastolic-dominant shape with periods of low or retrograde flow during systole. While the general waveform shape has been attributed to complex interactions between cardiac and vascular mechanics, there is limited research into the variability in coronary flow waveforms and what this variability may reveal about cardiac function. This work presents a shape analysis of left anterior descending artery (LAD) flow waveforms using Fourier transforms and Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) performed on baseline data collected from 32 pigs. Pigs included in the study reflect two breeds (Ossabaw and Yorkshire) and three different experimental conditions (lean-control, lean-paced, and obese-paced). Fourier transforms were used to decompose the waveforms into 15 harmonics for each pig. An SVD analysis is then used to extract temporal patterns of the waveforms. Correlations between pig-specific coefficients for the SVD modes and clinical metrics were used to investigate physiological explanations of LAD waveform variability. Temporal LAD flow patterns of the second SVD mode are significantly correlated with heart rate. The third SVD mode significantly correlates with mean blood pressure and maximum hyperemic flow. Furthermore, the fourth SVD mode is weakly correlated with left-ventricular end diastolic pressure and endocardial-epicardial flow ratios. This work demonstrates that LAD flow waveforms can be broken down into temporal patterns that correlate with physiological features. Furthermore, this shape-analysis method allows for waveform reconstruction and simplifies visualization of the temporal patterns identified using SVD, an advantage over existing methods that focus on characterizing flow waveforms by points of interest.

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Transcriptional coactivator MED15 is required to maintain β-cell maturity

Spencer, R. J.; Dan, M.; Cristiano, S. P.; Verchere, C. B.; Lynn, F. C.; Taubert, S.

2026-08-31 genetics 10.64898/2026.08.26.745805 medRxiv
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The Mediator complex, a vital transcriptional coregulator in eukaryotes, partners with transcription factors to orchestrate gene transcription and in turn many developmental and physiological processes. Mediator subunit MED15 is required for the pre-natal development and post-natal maturation of pancreatic {beta}-cells in mice. However, whether MED15 plays a role in {beta}-cell function after initial development and throughout adulthood is unknown. To investigate the role of MED15 in {beta}-cells post-maturation, we induced a {beta}-cell specific Med15 knockout at six weeks age in male and female mice. This post-developmental Med15 ablation led to glucose intolerance and impaired insulin secretion. RNA-sequencing revealed downregulation of {beta}-cell maturation markers, indicating that MED15 is continuously required to maintain {beta}-cell functionality. Further, we implanted insulin pellets into Med15 knockout mice to lower blood glucose and used RNA-seq to validate that the transcriptional changes we observed are a direct consequence of Med15 loss and not an indirect effect of hyperglycemia arising in the knockout mice. In sum, our study shows that MED15 is continuously required after weaning to maintain functional {beta}-cell maturity.

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Plasma and follicular fluid concentrations of carotenoids, tocopherols and retinol in a French population of women undergoing in vitro fertilization: a monocentric non-interventional study

Ndiaye, A.; Thiebaut, A. C. M.; Borel, P.; Sabran, C.; Elis, S.; Guerif, F.; Maillard, V.

2026-09-01 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.08.28.26360803 medRxiv
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The distribution of fat-soluble compounds (including antioxidants) in follicular fluid (FF) remains sparsely documented in relation to in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes and existing studies have reported diverging associations. This study aimed to describe plasma and FF concentrations of fat-soluble micronutrients in women undergoing IVF and to analyze their adjusted associations with ovarian function, embryo development and pregnancy outcomes. In 2021-2022, plasma and FF samples were collected from 82 women (first IVF cycle) at oocyte puncture, along with lifestyle data covering the three preceding months. Eleven compounds (two tocopherols, three xanthophylls, five carotenes and retinol) were quantified. All compounds were detected in both compartments (lowest in FF) except phytoene, undetectable in FF. Plasma and FF -tocopherol concentrations were positively associated with plasma estradiol levels before oocyte puncture (both p<0.01) while FF -carotene and lycopene were inversely associated with plasma progesterone concentrations (p=0.01 and 0.02, respectively). Plasma phytofluene and phytoene were positively associated with mature oocyte rate (p=0.03 and p=0.01, respectively), while FF retinol was negatively associated (p=0.03). Carotenes, tocopherols and retinol were inversely associated with later IVF outcomes: fertilization rate (p<0.001 for plasma g-tocopherol, 0.02 for FF retinol), top-quality embryo (p=0.02 for plasma phytofluene), biochemical pregnancy at day 7 post-embryo transfer (p=0.05 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.02 for plasma -carotene), clinical pregnancy (p=0.03 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.01 for plasma phytoene) and live birth (p=0.04 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.02 for plasma phytoene). Plasma and FF g-tocopherol were positively associated with embryo fragmentation (both p<0.05). Finally, among xanthophylls, only plasma {beta}-cryptoxanthin was positively associated with plasma progesterone concentrations (p=0.02). Our findings of heterogeneous associations between tocopherols, carotenes, retinol and IVF outcomes across the stages of IVF suggest a beneficial effect limited to early outcomes and support a complex and context-dependent role of these compounds in female reproduction. This manuscript has been submitted to PlosOne on August 19, 2026.

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Predictability failure in glucose-insulin system for ICU patients

Ghosh, D.

2026-09-01 systems biology 10.64898/2026.08.26.747449 medRxiv
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Modern medicine implicitly assumes that physiological responses to intervention are predictably determined by administered treatments. However, physiological systems containing intrinsic delays between the detection of a stimulus and the biological response may violate this assumption. We investigate the human glucose-insulin system as described by the Ultradian model and mathematically demonstrate that clinically relevant forcing protocols-such as pulsatile insulin delivery and step-wise glucose infusion, both commonly used in intensive care units (ICUs)-can induce sustained temporal chaos that may hamper accurate prediction of the physiological response. If not accounted for, these chaotic dynamics could create difficulties in achieving optimal dosing and timing when administering glucose and insulin in clinical or home care settings. This phenomenon, termed delay-induced uncertainty (DIU), arises from the interaction between physiological delay, intrinsic shear near a limit cycle, and external forcing. Using the Ultradian glucose-insulin model, we compute top Lyapunov exponents to quantify predictability. Across a range of pulsatile and step-wise forcing regimes, including stochastic amplitudes drawn from Markov processes, we observe positive Lyapunov exponents, indicating sustained chaos. Our results suggest that delayed endocrine regulation may fundamentally limit the predictive value of the models used to develop glycemic management strategies, with implications for clinical protocols in the ICU.

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Genetic and behavioural architecture of childhood eating behaviour and links to obesity risk

Karimi, R.; Baur, M.; Power, G. M.; Sundfjord, J. H.; Fragoso-Bargas, N.; Clement, L.; Andreassen, O. A.; Davey Smith, G.; Njolstad, P. R.; Brandlistuen, R. E.; Ask, H.; Hemani, G.; Ong, K. K.; Kutalik, Z.; Havdahl, A. K. S.; Vaudel, M.; Johansson, S.

2026-09-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.09.02.26362007 medRxiv
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Background/Objectives: Childhood appetitive traits are heritable behavioural phenotypes hypothesized to link genetic susceptibility to obesity risk. Yet their genetic architecture and role in mediating polygenic adiposity risk remain poorly understood. Methods: We conducted the largest survey of childhood eating behaviour to date, allowing us to perform genome-wide association studies of six appetitive domains derived from 18 items of the parent-reported Children's Eating Behaviour Questionnaire in up to 31,018 eight-year-old children from the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study (MoBa). A trio-based design enabled decomposition of direct and indirect genetic effects on appetite and BMI. Results: We identified ten independent genome-wide significant loci for childhood eating behaviour, primarily across Food Responsiveness, Satiety Responsiveness, and Food Fussiness, eight of which lie at established childhood or adult BMI loci. Food Responsiveness and Satiety Responsiveness showed both phenotypic and genetic correlations with BMI trajectories from early childhood through adolescence. Statistical mediation analyses indicated that 22.1% and 10.4% of the aggregated genetic association with BMI at age 8 could be decomposed through these traits, respectively. Locus-specific patterns further suggested mechanistic pathways, with the FTO locus acting predominantly via Food Responsiveness, and the ADCY3 locus via Satiety Responsiveness. Trio analyses demonstrated that both BMI and eating behaviour associations were predominantly explained by children's inherited alleles, with minimal contribution from indirect effect from parental adiposity, although parental genetic liability influenced reporting of Satiety Responsiveness. Conclusions: Childhood appetitive traits capture a substantial proportion of genetic susceptibility to adiposity through distinct eating behaviour pathways (under standard mediation assumptions). These effects are primarily driven by the child's own genotype rather than indirect parental influences, positioning appetite as a plausible, biologically grounded target for early obesity prevention.

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Relation of Self-Reported Race and Genetic Ancestry to Hypertension Prevalence Among Hispanics/Latinos: The Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos

Montanez-Valverde, R. A.; Kim, V.; Duran-Luciano, P.; Yuan, Y.; Sofer, T.; Kaplan, R. C.; Gallo, L. C.; Talavera, G. A.; Perreira, K. M.; Daviglus, M. L.; Rosas, S. E.; Llabre, M. M.; Elfassy, T.; Li, X.; Isasi, C. R.; Rodriguez, C. J.

2026-09-03 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361995 medRxiv
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Background. The imprecision of current metrics to capture the complex genetic admixture and racial identity among Hispanic/Latino individuals in the United States [US] is a concern. We examined the relationship of self-reported race and genetic ancestry with hypertension [HTN] among Hispanics/Latinos. Methods. Cross-sectional study of the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL), including 10,586 Hispanic/Latino unrelated adults. Genetic ancestry: West African [AA], Amerindian [AI], and European [EA]. Self-reported race: White, Black, Native American, or Multiple/Missing (More than one race or Unknown/Not reported/Refused). HTN: systolic (SBP) [&ge;]130 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) [&ge;]80 mmHg, and/or use of HTN medications. Age- and sex adjusted models were used. Results. Self-reported race was White (38{middle dot}6%), Black (3{middle dot}6%), Native American (4{middle dot}1%), and Multiple/Missing (53{middle dot}7%), with Unknown/Not reported/Refused representing 32{middle dot}7%. Black and White Hispanics/Latinos had the greatest AA (55{middle dot}7%) and EA (69{middle dot}3%) ancestries, respectively. Each 10% AA increase was associated with OR 1{middle dot}15, SBP beta +0{middle dot}9 mmHg, and DBP beta +0{middle dot}7 mmHg. Conversely, each 10% AI increase was associated with OR 0{middle dot}83, SBP beta -0{middle dot}4 mmHg, and DBP beta -0{middle dot}6 mmHg. HTN prevalence was highest among those with Black race or in the highest AA quantile (45{middle dot}6% and 48{middle dot}0%, respectively), and lowest among those with Native American race or in the highest AI quantile (37{middle dot}6% and 26{middle dot}7%, respectively). Conclusion. One-third of Hispanics/Latinos did not self-report race. Black or White self-reporting race did somewhat relate to AA or EA ancestry, respectively. HTN profiles were related to self-reported race and genetic ancestry in this admixed population.

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Young people with obesity and rare disease - genotypes, phenotypes and healthcare use

Chia, C.; Baker, K.

2026-08-31 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361359 medRxiv
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Obesity is a significant public health concern. Early-onset obesity in the context of rare disease can reflect genetically-mediated pathology or elevated susceptibility through indirect mechanisms. Mapping the diverse characteristics and needs of young people with obesity in the rare disease population is a first step toward mechanistic and translational research. We carried out a retrospective comparative analysis of demographic, genotypic, phenotypic and health service utilisation data for young people with obesity (cases: n=500) and without obesity (controls: n=11,444) from the UK 100,000 Genomes Project rare disease cohort. Cases and controls were recruited prior to genomic diagnosis, across clinical disorder categories. We observed significant association between socioeconomic deprivation and obesity risk. Young people with obesity had significantly higher utilisations of acute care and mental health services, indicating an overall higher health burden. A curated panel of 519 candidate obesity-associated genes demonstrated aggregate association with obesity, although no single gene reached significance. Phenotypic comparison between cases and controls highlighted increased multi-organ and neurological system involvement, highlighting the overlap between neurodevelopmental and obesity risks. Within the case group, we conducted cluster analysis to identify early-onset obesity groups with different phenotypic profiles, potentially arising from different causal pathways - this identified six obesity subgroups of interest, with differing involvement of neurodevelopmental and other systems. Our study confirms that obesity co-occurs with a wide range of factors within the rare disease population, and is associated with significant physical and mental health needs, requiring holistic lifelong care.

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Sympathetic activation and the force-frequency relationship in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Straw, S.; Gupta, A.; Bretheron, B.; Cole, C. A.; Brown, O. I.; Kamalathasan, S.; Drozd, M.; Lowry, J. E.; Corrigan, J.; Paton, M. F.; Burgess, R.; Kearney, M. T.; Cubbon, R. M.; Witte, K. K.; Gierula, J.

2026-09-01 physiology 10.64898/2026.08.24.746885 medRxiv
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Background Limited heart rate rise contributes to reduced exercise tolerance for people who have heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), yet rate-adaptive pacing does not improve functional capacity due to an attenuated force-frequency relationship (FFR). How the FFR relates to total peripheral resistance and sympathetic tone in HFrEF is unknown. Methods In a prospective, observational study, participants with HFrEF and controls underwent an incremental pacing protocol, during which heart rate was increased from 50 to 140 beats per minute. At each heart rate increment LV contractility was measured by echocardiography to determine the FFR, as well as continuous beat-to-beat measurement of systolic and diastolic blood pressures with a plethysmography device to determine cardiac output, total peripheral resistance and blood pressure variability (BPV). A microneurography study was then conducted to measure muscle sympathetic nerve activity (MSNA) during incremental pacing. Results A total of 157 participants with HFrEF and 55 controls (mean age 71.1{+/-}1.4 years, 172 (81.1%) male) underwent the pacing protocol. We observed single units in seven of 11 participants who participated in the microneurography study. In both groups, LV contractility and cardiac output increased until the peak of the FFR, after which these declined. We observed a reduction in total peripheral resistance, blood pressure variability, MSNA frequency and incidence coinciding with the peak of the FFR, beyond which these increased. Whilst these relationships were present in both groups, they were more evident in participants with HFrEF. Conclusions For people with HFrEF there is a bidirectional relationship between heart rate and sympathetic activation, with a nadir of sympathetic tone occurring at the peak of the FFR. Both excessively low and high heart rates are accompanied by greater sympathetic activation. Taken together, these data suggest that optimal heart rate targets for HFrEF are likely to be individual.

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Investigating adiposity in childhood and adulthood on later life sleep health: a lifecourse Mendelian randomization study

pathak, s.; Richardson, T.; Sanderson, E.; Arora, N.; Strand, L.; Asvold, B. O.; Bhatta, L.; Brumpton, B.

2026-08-31 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361310 medRxiv
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Background: Higher Body Mass Index (BMI) is an established risk factor of sleep disturbance. It is not known if the effect is homogeneous across the lifecourse or if there is a particular time point in life that might be best to target. Methods: Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was used to investigated the effect of childhood adiposity (adjusting on adulthood adiposity and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA)) on insomnia, morning chronotype, sleep duration, daytime sleepiness and daytime napping. Similarly, total, and direct effect of adulthood adiposity on these outcomes was explored. We used summary statistics from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of UK Biobank for childhood and adulthood adiposity (n=453,169) and large-scale consortia of OSA (Million Veteran Program) (n=410,268), insomnia, and chronotype (23andMe) (n=1,978,022 and n=248,1000, respectively). Results: Two-sample univariable MR analysis provided no evidence of an effect of genetically predicted childhood adiposity on later life insomnia (Odds ratio (OR)= 0.94, 95% Confidence interval (CI)= 0.87, 1.03). Whereas, multivariable MR (adjusted for adulthood adiposity) analysis provide strong evidence of direct protective effect of genetically predicted childhood adiposity on later life insomnia (OR= 0.70, CI= 0.64, 0.77). Further, both in univariable and multivariable MR, a strong positive effect of increased childhood body size on morning chronotype was observed (OR= 1.16, CI= 1.01, 1.33 and OR= 1.36, CI= 1.15, 1.62, respectively) after accounting for adulthood body size. In both analysis the estimate did not change considerably after aditionally adjusting for OSA. However, childhood and adulthood adiposity found to be associated with OSA and OSA with insomnia. In both univariable and multivariable analysis, increased body size in adulthood increased the risk of having insomnia and a morning chronotype. Conclusions: The findings suggest that higher body size in childhood is not a risk factor for later life insomnia, whereas higher body size in adulthood was. Further, if healthy body size is maintained in adulthood, high childhood adiposity may decrease the risk of insomnia and increase the risk of being a morning person in later life. Keywords: childhood, adulthood, obesity, insomnia, morning chronotype, medelian randomization

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AI-Driven Early Detection of Polycystic Ovary Syndrome via Follicle Count

Thota, D.; Mahesha, A.; Khasim, M. F.; Kethineni, K. P.; Pothireddygari, B.; Rahmani, B.

2026-09-04 health informatics 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361974 medRxiv
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Polycystic Ovary Syndrome is a common endocrine disorder characterized by ovulatory dysfunction, hyperandrogenism, and/or polycystic ovarian morphology, with significant reproductive and metabolic consequences. Due to heterogeneous symptom profiles, Polycystic Ovary Syndrome is frequently underdiagnosed or diagnosed late. In this study, we develop machine learning models for early Polycystic Ovary Syndrome prediction using a structured clinical dataset with 42 features and 542 patient records. After data cleaning and normalization, correlation-based feature selection was applied to retain the most predictive variables. Multiple models were trained and evaluated, including Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, KNN, and Random Forest. Results demonstrate that Random Forest achieves the best overall performance (approximately 88% accuracy), suggesting that ensemble models can effectively capture non-linear feature interactions in clinical data. We also contextualize findings with international clinical guidance and recent work on explainable and clinically applicable Polycystic Ovary Syndrome prediction systems.

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Burden of fatigue in compensated chronic liver disease: findings from the multinational a:GAP Study

Choudhuri, G.; Akhundova-Unadkat, G.; Naidoo, N.; Morales-Castillo, M.; Guillaume, X.; Duijnhoven, R. G.; Safaei, A.; Swain, M. G.

2026-09-02 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361618 medRxiv
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Background & Aims: Fatigue is a central symptom of chronic liver disease (CLD), substantially impacting health-related quality of life (HRQoL). This study aimed to further understand CLD symptomatology, including fatigue, and its impact on HRQoL from a patient perspective. Methods: Abbott Global Assessment of Patients unmet needs (aGAP) was a multinational, cross-sectional survey in adults with compensated CLD in China, India and Mexico, conducted between July and November 2024. Adult participants who self-reported that they had physician-diagnosed CLD and were experiencing fatigue completed a quantitative survey to assess symptom burden and included three HRQoL patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS]-29+2, Work Productivity and Activity Impairment - Specific Health Problem version 2.0 [WPAI: SHP], Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory [MFI]). Results: Overall, 505 participants (China: 200; Mexico: 105; India: 200) completed the study. Participants reported that their CLD-related fatigue sometimes, often or always affected their self-esteem/confidence (45.1%) and ability to maintain or acquire new employment (38.6%). Most participants reported moderate (51.3%) or serious (26.9%) fatigue, with 33.5% experiencing fatigue every day or almost every day. Many participants felt their social life was negatively impacted by their fatigue (47.3%) and that there were related financial difficulties (53.9%). Use of validated PRO tools demonstrated severe fatigue (MFI: overall mean [SD] 13.9 [3.4] general fatigue and 13.4 [3.6] physical fatigue) as well as substantial levels of work and activity impairment (WPAI: SHP overall mean [SD] 53.0 [26.4]) and high levels of anxiety, pain interference, depression and sleep interference (PROMIS T-scores [&ge;]54). Conclusions: Fatigue has a substantial impact on HRQoL among adults with CLD across several countries, highlighting a global unmet need for targeted interventions to effectively identify and manage the condition.

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GLP-1/GIP Uptake, Indication, and Access Pathways Among US Adults in the Understanding America Study

Chaturvedi, R. R.; Gracner, T.; Perez-Arce, F.; Suen, S.-c.; Jin, J.; Orriens, B.; Pacula, R. L.; Sexton Ward, A.; Haile, R.; Kapteyn, A.

2026-09-02 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361368 medRxiv
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Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.

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An interpretable, formally verified point-of-care ultrasound risk equation for difficult videolaryngoscopy: development and internal validation

Oyarzun-Silva, R. A.; Hernandez-Hernandez, P.; Fernandez-Vaquero, M. A.; De Luis-Cabezon, N.

2026-09-02 anesthesia 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361621 medRxiv
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Background. Videolaryngoscopy still requires adjuncts or hyperangulated rescue in a clinically important minority, and bedside screening discriminates modestly. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the anterior airway is a promising alternative, but existing prediction models are opaque or assume a pre-specified functional form. We developed and internally validated a parsimonious, fully disclosed POCUS risk equation whose form is recovered from data and whose structural properties are machine-checked by formal proof - to our knowledge the first formally verified clinical risk predictor - following TRIPOD+AI 2024. Methods. In a prospective single-centre, single-operator cohort of 259 adults undergoing elective videolaryngoscopy (no-Easy airway 68/259, 26.3%), Sequentially Thresholded Least Squares with bootstrap stability selection (B=300) screened a 71-term library of nine POCUS features and retained a seven-term logistic equation; a two-term bootstrap-stable model was pre-specified as robustness analysis. Internal validation used 5x10 repeated cross-validation plus temporal and device hold-outs, with pre-specified overfitting and optimism assessments. Five behavioural properties of the deployed equation were machine-checked in Lean 4. Results. Two interactions met the |c|/sigma_c>2 stability criterion: skin-to-epiglottis x skin-to-hyoid-bone distance and tongue volume x sagittal tongue area. The seven-term equation reached a 5x10 cross-validated C-statistic of 0.966 (optimism-corrected 0.968) and held across temporal and device hold-outs (0.94-0.97). Calibration-in-the-large matched prevalence, with cross-validated slope 0.90 attenuating to 0.625 out-of-time; standard recalibration restored 0.92 without loss of discrimination. The pre-specified two-term robustness model reproduced this performance (C-statistic 0.964-0.968; events-per-parameter 34; shrinkage 0.99), confirming the result is not an artefact of the screening stage. Net benefit over a clinical baseline was positive across 10-50% thresholds. All five Lean 4 theorems compiled without sorry. Conclusions. A sparse, formally verified POCUS equation predicts difficult videolaryngoscopy with high internally validated discrimination and quantified, modest overfitting. Because the equation was developed in a single-operator cohort and its inputs are operator-dependent, external validation requires prior harmonisation of the measurement protocol and operator credentialing.

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Optimizing Aqueous Humor Liquid Biopsy: Safety and Performance of a Short, Low-Dead-Space Ophthalmic Needle for Anterior Chamber Paracentesis

Singh, A. M.; Yeh, T.-C.; DeBoer, C.; Al-Moujahed, A.; Lin, J. B.; Smith, S. J.; Sanislo, S.; Janjua, K. A.; Lin, T.-C.; Almeida, D. R. P.; Mruthyunjaya, P.; Mahajan, V. B.

2026-09-02 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361364 medRxiv
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Purpose: To evaluate the safety, procedural performance, sample recovery, and surgeon preference of an ophthalmic needle designed specifically for anterior chamber (AC) paracentesis. Methods: In this multicenter study, AC paracentesis was performed in clinic and operating-room settings using a 32-gauge x 4-mm needle with low dead space. The procedure was evaluated using a standardized physician survey. Prespecified outcomes included procedure-related adverse events (primary outcome), needle entry and handling, aspiration and sample recovery, comparative performance versus a 30-gauge needle, and physician preference for future use. Results: A total of 110 needle uses by eight surgeons were included. No ocular complications occurred, including lens or iris injury, hyphema, AC collapse, wound leak, hypotony, infection, or retinal complication, and no procedure required needle exchange or conversion to another device. Two technical events without ocular sequelae were noted, in which needle entry was partial thickness and did not reach the AC (1.8%; exact 95% CI, 0.2%-6.4%). Physicians rated needle entry, handling and sample recovery as good or excellent. Compared with a 30-gauge needle, the study needle was rated as at least comparable across all assessed domains. All surgeons rated it better or much better for intra-procedural safety and preferred it for future AC taps. Conclusions and Relevance: This short, 32-gauge low-dead-space ophthalmic needle demonstrated a favorable safety profile and was preferred over a 30-gauge needle by all surgeons. As aqueous humor liquid biopsy expands in clinical diagnostics and trials, an ophthalmic-specific needle design may help improve the consistency and safety of aqueous humor collection for molecular analysis and broader clinical use. Keywords: Anterior chamber paracentesis; Aqueous humor; Liquid biopsy; Low dead space; Ophthalmic needle

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Certified large language model-based diagnostic decision support in rheumatology: the ALLIANCE multicentre randomised controlled trial

Kremer, P.; Schlicker, N.; Hasnaj, R.; Bamberger, J.; Witte, T.; Haase, I.; Mayr, A.; Schmidt, C.; Osteras, N.; Baraliakos, X.; Kuhn, S.; Krusche, M.; Knitza, J.

2026-09-02 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361715 medRxiv
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Objectives To evaluate whether access to a certified large language model (LLM)-based clinical decision support system improves physician diagnostic performance in rheumatology compared with conventional diagnostic resources alone. Methods In this multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial, 82 physicians from seven hospitals in two countries were randomised 1:1 to conventional diagnostic resources plus Prof. Valmed or conventional resources alone. Participants assessed three rheumatology vignettes before and after assistance. The primary outcome was top-1 diagnostic accuracy. Secondary outcomes included top-3 accuracy, diagnostic reasoning, confidence, case-processing time and perceived support quality. Results Top-1 accuracy increased from 22.2% to 33.3% in the intervention group and from 23.3% to 35.0% in the control group, with no between-group difference in improvement (adjusted OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.45 to 2.19; p=0.979). Differences in top-3 accuracy, diagnostic reasoning and confidence were also not significant. Assisted case-processing time was substantially shorter with LLM support (94 vs 206 s; adjusted mean difference -112 s, 95% CI -141 to -83; p<0.001). Information timeliness and perceived diagnostic support quality were rated significantly higher in the intervention group. Exploratory analyses showed persistent overconfidence and substantial AI over-reliance. Conclusions Certified LLM-based diagnostic support did not improve diagnostic accuracy compared with conventional resources, but substantially reduced case-processing time and improved perceived support quality. These findings suggest potential workflow benefits while highlighting overconfidence and over-reliance as important safety considerations.

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ECG-based longitudinal risk prediction across diseases and organ systems

ye, y.; Zeng, Z.; Tian, X.; Yuan, Z.; Wang, J.; Zhu, Y.

2026-09-02 health informatics 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361697 medRxiv
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Artificial intelligence applied to routine electrocardiograms (ECGs) has largely focused on detecting existing disease or predicting individual cardiovascular outcomes. Whether ECGs can support prediction of multiple future diseases across organ systems remains unclear. We developed ECG-RISK, a multitask survival model for 67 incident three-character ICD-10 endpoints using ECG waveforms, demographic characteristics and routinely collected laboratory data from 86,673 MIMIC-IV patients. Discrimination was highest for heart, brain, kidney and lung endpoints, with organ-level C-indices ranging from 0.796 to 0.825, whereas liver and pancreatic endpoints showed lower discrimination. The ECG-only model achieved strong discrimination across most endpoints, whereas the incremental improvement gained by incorporating ECG and laboratory inputs beyond demographic information varied substantially across endpoints. Across the nine exploratory aggregated outcomes, Kaplan Meier curves showed clear separation among model-score tertiles. Discrimination was highest for dementia (C-index, 0.891) and heart failure (C-index, 0.857). These findings support the feasibility of ECG-based longitudinal risk prediction across multiple diseases. External validation and competing-risk analyses are required to assess generalisability and clinical utility.

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Evaluation of the Efficacy and Safety of Combination Therapy of Vamha and Myrha in the Management of PMOS: An Open-Label, Randomized, Multicentre, Comparative, Prospective Clinical Study

Patil, A.; Barathe, R.; Tate, D. M.; Kate, K.; Pande, S.; Gawande, N.; More, A.; Mahadik, S.; Berde, K.; Singhvi, R.

2026-09-02 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.08.20.26360875 medRxiv
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Introduction: Polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome (PMOS), formerly known as polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), is a common endocrine disorder affecting women of reproductive age. Besides reproductive and metabolic disturbances, PMOS negatively impacts psychological well-being and quality of life. Despite available treatment options, there remains a need for safe and effective therapies that improve both clinical symptoms and fertility outcomes. Aim: To compare the efficacy of VAMHA and MYRHA tablet combination therapy with standard non-hormonal therapy in restoring regular menstruation. Secondary objectives included assessment of ovulation, menstrual symptoms, polycystic ovarian morphology, hormonal and metabolic parameters, anthropometric measures, and skin manifestations. Study Design: Open-label, randomized, multicentre, prospective comparative clinical study. Methods: Seventy-one women with PMOS were randomized to Group A (n=37) or Group B (n=34). Group A received VAMHA and MYRHA tablets (2 tablets each), while Group B received Metformin 500 mg plus Myoinositol 600 mg (1 tablet), twice daily for 180 days. Data were recorded in Case Report Forms. Statistical Analysis: Continuous variables were summarized using mean and standard deviation, while categorical variables were expressed as frequencies and percentages. Appropriate statistical tests, including Chi-square, were used. A p-value [&le;]0.05 was considered significant. Results: Significantly more participants in Group A achieved regular menstrual cycles than Group B (31 vs. 22; p<0.05). Ovulation occurred in 16 participants in Group A compared with 6 in Group B (p<0.05). Both groups showed significant improvement in menstrual irregularity and related symptoms. Significant reductions in Anti-Mullerian Hormone (AMH), fasting insulin, and body mass index (BMI) were observed in both groups (p<0.05). Resolution of polycystic ovarian morphology occurred in 13 participants (38.23%) in Group A and 10 (33.33%) in Group B. Both treatments were well tolerated with no major safety concerns. Conclusions: VAMHA and MYRHA combination therapy was superior to standard non-hormonal therapy in improving menstrual regularity and ovulation. It also produced favourable metabolic, hormonal, and ultrasonographic outcomes, suggesting its potential as a safe and effective option for comprehensive PMOS management and fertility enhancement.